2018-05-16 11:33:24 UTC
America's political experts got it wrong in 2016, not because they took too
few polls but because they made the false assumption that American elections
are immune to societal change.
The experts are, in large part, still getting things wrong, not only by
failing to understand a new group of voters who put President Donald Trump
in the White House but also by ignoring why the group voted the way it did.
When explaining the Trump voter, the media usually offer portraits of
isolated, uneducated, working-class rubes who are driven by anger, race and
nationalism. It's hard for the experts and those who didn't support Trump to
see it any other way.
And while the media obsess over the future demise of the president, they
aren't pausing to consider the strength and durability of the coalition that
swept him into office. They aren't asking why people in the Rust Belt
counties that voted for former President Barack Obama twice suddenly
switched to Trump.
But they should, because Trump was not the cause of this movement; he was
the result of it. In order to fully appreciate his rise to the White House,
you need focus on the people who put him there.